Cards & Stats

This might seem like a silly question, but it’s actually a very interesting one. Imagine two pitchers, Reliability and Erratic, both of whom pitch for a team that scores an average amount of runs—say 4.5...

Here’s a bit more on how the empirical fielding-independent pitcher metric—eFIP— compares with Baseball Reference’s and Fangraphs’s pitching-runs saved measures. I’ve previously shown that eFIP does a...

Don Mattingly is “making history” in his stint as interim manager of the Phillies, The Athletic excitedly reports today. Nine and 19 when he took over, the Phils have gone 16-5 since.  Yeah, that’s...

Okay: for a long time I was too scared to address this issue again. But part of the reason for my ongoing work with eFIP was to arm myself for another encounter with this demon. . . . I’m...

So here is a fun follow-up to the last post. That one introduced “eFIP,” a pitcher estimator that uses empirically derived weights for fielding-independent outcomes—strikeouts, walks, home runs allowed,...

I’m circling back to formulating a pitcher estimator. I explored that back when I examined ball-in-play propensities. but I feel I didn’t get a very good handle on then. So forget how BIP enters into the...