Cards & Stats

So I’ve been  knocking myself out for about 3 months revising & reworking a paper on Pythagorean Expectation Benchmarking—or PEB. PEB is the use of teams’ Pythagorean Expectation (PE) winning percentage as...

Here is an unanticipated installment 3. We’re investigating the interesting claim that higher variance in game-by-game performance amplifies starting pitcher value—or at least sometimes does. So far we’ve...

This is another in the continuing series on eFIP, an empirically grounded alternative to the conventional fixed-weight/ahistorical FIP (fielding-independent pitching) measure of pitching proficiency. We’ve...

This is installment 2 on the question: Is inconsistency a starting-pitcher virtue? I’m sure everyone read installment 1. But remember, the idea is that holding mean runs allowed constant, a pitcher who...

This might seem like a silly question, but it’s actually a very interesting one. Imagine two pitchers, Reliable and Erratic, both of whom pitch for a team that scores an average amount of runs—say 4.5...

Here’s a bit more on how the empirical fielding-independent pitcher metric—eFIP— compares with Baseball Reference’s and Fangraphs’s pitching-runs saved measures. I’ve previously shown that eFIP does a...