Cards & Stats
We use cool baseball cards to illuminate the history and illustrate the statistical analysis of Major League Baseball!
I’m returning to pitcher estimators, and in reviewing FanGraphs’ WAR calculation discovered a truly cringeworthy glitch.
FanGraphs uses a variant of FIP—fielding independent pitching—to determine the pitching...
Great news: mWAR paper has been accepted by Journal of Sport Analytics!
Will make second site paper (other being Fielding After Baseball’s Great Transformation) to be published.
There have been others...
Been a while—but here’s a new paper!
Synthesizes and extends some of the material from the last few posts on using Pythagorean Expectation formula as benchmark for identifying elements of team composition...
Here’s a strange one: does team slugging percentage predict deviation from a team’s Pythagorean Expectation Formula (PEF() winning percentage?
There’s absolutely zero reason to believe it would in theory.
PEF,...
This is more or less what I said:
My focus is manager value, one of the last aspects of major league baseball unaffected by the sports analytics revolution. The goal of the paper is to fashion a manager-value...
Having examined the value of the Pythagorean Expectation Formula (PEF) as a benchmark for assessing manger value, I thought it would be interesting to extend the analysis and see if PEF can be used to...